Paper on the USA between China and Taiwan

America has faced a difficult issue to resolve. On the one hand, good relations with China are important, some would even say decisive for the United States' future prosperity and role in the global hierarchy. On the other hand, forsaking Taiwan completely would send a signal of weaknesses that would be exploited by America's 'challengers' (enemies would be a bit too harsh), in particular to such countries as Russia or India (albeit to a lesser level), who are also interested in gaining power over neighbors. Moreover, it would signal a retreat of America's role as global peacekeeper, which, though detested by many, is important for global security and stability.

Engaging and stonewalling China is likely to only produce adverse effects. China is very sensitive to matters of respect in international relations. Although it is not yet much, the People's Republic of China has recently been sending signals that it is willing to make some compromises in the interest of global harmony. This may have been largely due to fears of boycotting the 2008 Beijing Olympics. However, it seems reasonable to assume that as China's population grows richer and better educated (and especially as its middle class grows), there will be internal pressures for the government to promote regional stability and foster good conditions for trade, rather than lead the country to autarchy by causing international conflicts (leading to trade restrictions). Moreover, history is full of examples of how waning powers tried to maintain their dominant position by oppressing the rising ones. This should be enough to convince the United States that conflict with China is not the road to success. Furthermore, the United States would not be in a position to do so anyway. With an overstretched economy and an overstretched military, America is not in a position to order countries around (especially since many blame it for the present economic crisis), at least at the moment.

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